Ukraine: 2025 collapse

Within 12-18 months, Ukraine's military will face such defeats that would force either a surrender, or a withdrawal behind the Dnieper. Trump won't be able to do much about that.

Commercial Summary: A likely defeat for Ukraine in 2025 or 2026 would discredit the EU dramatically, at a time when the right in the US is surging and when Trump can use his bully pulpit far more effectively. On current trends, in the coming 12-18 months, Ukraine will likely have to either enter into surrender negotiations or withdraw behind the Dnieper…