The End is Near?

In killing the three US soldiers, Iran brought the situation to the brink of a direct war with the US. This, combined with mounting Israeli casualties, may well be leading to de-escalation.

There are various reports coming out of the region that may be risk positive. For the first time since the start of this war, Modad Geopolitics is cautiously optimistic that a ceasefire is coming. Israel may well be unable to continue the war after a lengthy ceasefire expires.

After the killing of three US soldiers, we said on 29 January: “One of the ef…