Syria and the coming chaos

With Assad gone, Türkiye is the only significant decisionmaker. Israel, Gulf Arab states, and Iran may collaborate to act as spoilers.

Commercial Summary: Unless the Turks help their proxies establish a very powerful internal security service to prevent Iran, Israel and others from arming rival factions, chaos is all but guaranteed. Key early indicators of stability include Türkiye’s ability to defeat Kurdish militias, the issuing of an amnesty law covering officials in the Assad perio…