Middle East Maritime Dynamics: Update and the role of China

China has no interest in reducing escalation; attacks against Israeli, US and UK maritime interests are likely to continue and, for Israel, expand to the Mediterranean.

Commercial Summary: Ansar Allah can continue to intermittently strike shipping headed to Israel for several months. Israel, for its part, is unable to end the war, thereby leading to an open-ended crisis. The Resistance Axis is likely to launch intensified attacks on Israeli Mediterranean ports, with a focus on specialised infrastructure. This may exten…